Thursday, May 19, 2011

Japan "Enters recession": What Are They Drinking?

The media reports today that Japan has entered into a recession. Amazing. As if any of this was any surprise.

Its GDP shrank 3.7%, 'more than estimated in the first quarter". The country has a shrinking population and suffered a devastating earthquake, and that is more than estimated?

Bloomberg: "Gross domestic product contracted an annualized 3.7 percent in the three months through March, following a revised 3 percent drop in the previous quarter, the Cabinet Office said today in Tokyo. The median forecast of 23 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News was for a 1.9 percent drop.

The March disaster hit an economy already weighed down by years of deflation and subdued consumer spending, and slashed profits at companies including Toyota Motor Corp. as factories were shut. The economy, now the smallest size since 1991 unadjusted for price changes, may shrink further this quarter before rebounding later in 2011 as reconstruction kicks in".

Disclaimer: I am short Japan through EWJ puts.

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